The Easily Distracted Cliopatriarch (though I'm more than a little covetous of that title, myself) has written something rare and wonderful: intelligent hindsight. What's the difference between intelligent hindsight and dumb hindsight? Well, intelligent hindsight is neither pure fault-finding nor self-congratulation. Historians ought to be good at that, but sometimes we get caught up in either moralizations or single-cause arguments that obscure our better judgment. Sometimes the answers are obvious but not simple, and the difference between those is the difference between politics and policy. Intelligent hindsight also should be some sort of guide to the future: what should we do differently, who should we listen to that we ignored, who should we ignore in their stead. And, as Dr. Burke points out, there were lots of people who predicted the situation we are in, domestically and internationally. Alice Walker once said that"The best substitute for war is intelligence" and she didn't mean the CIA, either. This is what historians do well, I think, and this is why more people should listen to us.