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Why Are Undecided Voters Still Undecided?
The presidential election is just two weeks away, yet all of the polls indicate that a significant percentage of potential voters are still “undecided.” An October 21 Pew poll , for example, shows Obama with a big lead over McCain, 52 - 38 percent. Even so, almost 10 percent of respondents are undecided, while 23 percent are still “persuadable.” The latter, I guess, can also be considered undecided. Who are they? Why are they still undecided or persuadable?

The major party candidates have been campaigning for almost two years. Their competition has dominated print and electronic news coverage for most of that period. C-Span has broadcast coverage of entire political rallies and stump speeches. The candidates have appeared in presidential-primary and post-primary debates too numerous to remember their number. Their positions on the issues are detailed on their Web-sites and have been debated in countless blogs, editorials, op-eds, and TV punditry. Their party-affiliations and general political philosophies are well-known. The stories of the lives of the candidates have been much advertised and discussed, and most reasonably informed people can easily distinguish between truth and fiction in these stories. Despite third-party candidates like Barr and Nader, only one of the two major-party candidates will be elected: McCain or Obama. At this stage in the campaign season (if not long before), it doesn’t take the political equivalent of rocket science to choose or to have already chosen one of the two – even if you are not entirely satisfied with either. Undecideds are the reason that U.S. presidential elections cost hundreds of millions of dollars and last for two years. Why can’t they decide?

The satirically humorous answer from comedians Jon Stewart and John Oliver is that 55 percent of the undecideds are “racist Democrats,” “attention seekers,” and the “chronically insecure,” while 45 percent are “the stupid people,” a category that includes “numbskulls,” “nitwits,” and “Cubs fans” – among other groups.

Maybe Stewart and Oliver are on to something, but historians and other professionals can’t go around calling people racists, numbskulls, and nitwits, so we use terms like “inattentive voters” or “low-information voters” to distinguish some voters from others; namely, the “attentive” and “high-information” voters. Thus, the undecideds may just be those people who haven’t been paying much attention to the campaign or haven’t been giving much thought to it – they are neither engaged nor well-informed. This explanation, however, is not entirely satisfactory because we know that there are many among the “decideds” who are not much engaged or well-informed either. I’ve run into a lot of them while canvassing during this election cycle.

No doubt there are many other explanations for the undecided phenomenon, and I believe that one of them is cognitive; that is, the reason has to do with the mental processes of knowing and judging. In other words, there are lots of people who have trouble making up their minds about anything. Maybe this is a symptom of a psychological disorder or condition. But whatever it is and however respectful we may be about this condition, it remains an annoying fact of political campaigns.
Also see, "Why Are Undecided Voters Still Undecided? – Research Addendum."


Who Are They?

1. There remains a large group which feels "there's not a dime's worth of difference beween the two major parties," and "they're all crooks."

2. A great many people don't like either McCain or Obama.

3. Like me, a good many know damn well who they are going to vote for but will not tell pollsters, whom they feel, with good reason, are seeking to manipulate voters. You mentioned Pew, and the stench from Pew this season has been particularly strong.

4. A majority doesn't care very much.

Re: Who Are They?

Mr. Hughes, thank you for answering in part the author of the article. I found it dripping with acid cynicism and a "holier than thou" attitude that serves no real interest. Abscond, ye perfect rascal!

Re: Who Are They?

Like Mr. Hughes, I am in that 10% labeled "undecided", racist, or stupid. I am part of the slice of America that is saying "I will not choose the lesser of two evils", and instead intends to vote for a third party. Why? To send the message that we are not happy with the two national parties, and will vote our conscience this election. Maybe there will be enough of us that others are not afraid to do the same next time around. Democracy is such a slow process these days.

I am probably more "decided" than a good portion of those considered by the polls as "decided".

Re: Who Are They?

It is SO depressing to read this sort of non-comment, made by products of football coach history/civics in our schools (perhaps).

Reflecting, I recall first voting for president in 1940. How many elections there have been since.

Here in Oregon we can vote NOW--by mail. My wife is all through. I'm waiting, not because I know nothing, maybe, but because I know too much.

Shall I let the possibility of future wars control me? Wrong headed policies toward the disadvantaged among us? Certainty of increased income taxes? Uncertainty even now about some of the weird but expensive ballot measures? Our senate race, where my vote might make a veto proof majority possible, with awesome consequences.

Even yet, I contemplate the imperfect candidates for top office with one perspective, while at the same time being pleased that persons of such apparent personal integrity, education, and loyalty to the Nation are on the ballots of both major parties. Am I Certain who should be Captain and first mate in case we get into iceberg territory?

I can see why educated and experienced Americans wish they had more time, or more information, and certainly more certenty--as the winds of information and misinformation blow about all of us.

But decide we must. It cannot be evaded; the deadline approaches; "for better or worse" it's up to me (and people very unlike me) to settle this thing once and for all--this time, at least.

It has long been that way, and I am part of it. I have never "tuned out." I am so pleased to be able to select my destiny, even when such selection is clearly beyond my degree of intellect at the moment.

For those in a funk: buck up! Your ballot, like mine, is pages long. There is much to decide. Get going. And--take pride.

Vaughn Davis Bornet Ashland, Oregon