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Niall Ferguson: Historian issues warning of a new cold war

THE SCOTTISH historian Niall Ferguson has warned that the strategic alliance between China and Russia is more of a threat to the West than the credit crunch.

Ferguson, a best-selling author, broadcaster and professor of history at Harvard University, said that the development of the new Russia-China powerblock was set to put the two economic heavyweights on a path to confrontation with much of the rest of the world.

Speaking at Making Sense Of The Future, a conference organised by the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Scotland (ICAS) at Gleneagles, Ferguson also warned that unless Iran suspends its nuclear weapons programme a full-scale war in the Middle East is inevitable.

"I believe that Russia's prime minister Vladimir Putin is about to have his Molotov-Ribbentrop moment," said Ferguson, referring to the pre-second world war non-aggression pact between Nazi Germany and Soviet Russia. "He's going to realise that Moscow and Beijing can have a new and meaningful partnership."

Ferguson also warned that the West had to sit up and take notice of the Shanghai Co-operation Organisation. The SCO was officially founded in 2001 as a counterpart to Nato and the European Union. Aside from China and Russia its members are Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan.
Read entire article at Sunday Herald (Australia)